I am entirely saying we can't win but it's depends on luck, there are circumstances that rise up at dying minutes in the field which you can't predict correctly and even if you got the correct score most times extra time shift you off from winning huge amount, or from winning you entire game if you are those that do parlay betting. Well, in have also gained little experience and for that winning is not certain and we can't be sure of any Match and even though we go through their history and follows what the history has given, we can't predict the injuries that may occur in the game where the other team will such chances to either equalized or win the match making your bet to go against you.
I would call it shit happens.
There's nothing wrong to make analysis assuming both of the teams will play with their peak performance and nothing will happen, so you make a bet in this condition. But, if the match turns really bad where the player is injured, got red card, or any other unfortunate thing, it's no longer your mistake.
Our task is analyzing the team, not predict anything that possible to happen.