I also think the same as you that Bayern Munich is stronger in Bundesliga and more likely to win the domestic league title than winning the UCL title which is very difficult to achieve because the competition this season is very tight maybe Bayern Munich must face Liverpool if they want to win the UCL title because this club is at its best level both in UCL and EPL it seems Liverpool will be the strongest candidate to win the UCL this season than Bayern Munich.
If we talk about Bayern Munich's probability to win the Bundesliga title, they have a great chance to do so. Munich only experienced 1 defeat in 15 matches, the same as Leverkusen. However, these two teams are separated by 4 points because Leverkusen has drawn more matches than Bayern Munich. It can be said that Bayern's matches in the last few weeks of the Bundesliga are not a strong team, which we can conclude that Munich should still be able to collect full points to maintain their consistency at the top of the standings. For the Champions League, there are several teams across Europe who are ready to wait to face teams from the Bundesliga. They are strong teams, not just Liverpool. Moreover, in the knockout phase later. One mistake can result in a bad scenario, so it is difficult for us to predict Bayern Munich's steps in the Champions League competition. What is certain is that there are still 2 matches left to be completed to advance to the next phase, while in the Bundesliga so far they are still leading the standings.