Yes, if an investor already knows the cycles that usually occur in bitcoin, it is certain that the investor will no longer hesitate to invest in bitcoin for the long term. Because the potential for the Bitcoin cycle to repeat itself every 4 years is 95% and is exactly the same as the previous cycle. What is different is that in each cycle the price of bitcoin always experiences a higher price increase compared to the previous cycle. For this reason, in my opinion there is no need to hesitate to invest in bitcoin. Because in my opinion, currently the most promising investment asset is bitcoin. What I mean by promising here is the potential for profit. That's why many people do DCA on bitcoin, regardless of the market price. This is because of the bitcoin cycle, because with this cycle people who do DCA feel safer. Because buying bitcoin at whatever price now, it is certain that in the next cycle will still make a profit. So basically we don't need to hesitate anymore to invest in bitcoin. Because bitcoin is truly the best investment asset of this decade.
You seem to be placing too much trust in Bitcoin. Remember, the future of Bitcoin is not in our hands. The security and pumping system of Bitcoin certainly make it reliable and potentially profitable for investment. However, are we ignoring the possible outcomes? Our faith in Bitcoin and previous statistics may reassure us, but that should not make us feel guaranteed.
If Bitcoin were guaranteed, we wouldn’t be advised to use unnecessary funds for investment. While long-term investments have a higher chance of making a profit, it could be a mistake to consider it as guaranteed. You must consider security-related issues and the risks involved in long-term investments. For example, the possibility of losing Bitcoin due to mistakes, the risk of selling at a loss because of flaws in the long-term holding strategy, the chance of losing access to the wallet, and even though unlikely, the potential for loss of Bitcoin in the long term. Based on these slight negative possibilities and the risk of investor error, you cannot guarantee or promise profit from Bitcoin investment, and doing so would be wrong. This is why it’s recommended to invest only a portion of your available funds in Bitcoin. If there were a guarantee of 100% profit from long-term Bitcoin investments, most people would invest a large portion of their wealth. But doing so could be the biggest mistake of your life. Therefore, it is not correct to be sure or guarantee profit in investments; it is just a possibility.