Re: Has anyone ever studied how Bitcoin could dramatically drop?
no offense to anyone here, but people are so stupid for thinking that 4 year cycles will continue on forever. BTC is still in its infancy. I wouldn't even call it "Early adoption" stage. we're not even there yet.
Bitcoin itself was designed in the way each new halving should less effect. So "forever" is a too big/strong word. Nobody sane expects that.
However, we've had the 4 year cycles until now and to the point they were pretty accurate (not perfectly, but not bad either). And this makes us believe that it'll go the same... until it won't.
And we've already heard the "this time is different" play also 4 years ago. So... imho you didn't say anything new nor convincing and I don't expect people (me included) say too soon anything about expecting to see the cycle broken.
Of course, I have no crystal globe and I can be wrong too. How about you?
the difference is that the president of the United States now supports BTC. this is different from 4 years ago, objectively. I dont really care to debate this since I'll just buy more if I'm wrong and it does dip. so its win win for me
