Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Don't trust your intuition.
by
danherbias07
on 24/01/2025, 11:21:30 UTC

Relying on intuition in betting has also been done by me, but unfortunately the chances of winning that I get are actually very small compared to when I do analysis through existing data and statistics so far, maybe everyone has a different mindset and also a different way of betting, but just relying on intuition in betting isn't it the same as blindly?
Intuition may indeed be needed when we have to make quick decisions like in  poker game, but we know that gambling and betting are often determined by random results that cannot be controlled, so indeed intuition and luck will not always give us long-term wins.

Listening to intuition for me is the same as choosing black or red in roulette. In this case, I leave everything to chance and luck will decide whether I win or lose. I never thought to try to apply this in betting, because I think it's stupid, even if you choose a bet with two outcomes (like total), and choose more or less at random, in this case, too, luck will decide, but why do this if I can see which teams are playing and what result happens more often, I think this approach has a better chance of success.

Whatever way you feel will help you to win your bet will still depend on luck, either relying to intuition or betting based on your analysis or your instinct. If we are gambling for fun, you don't need to go this far of trying various strategies in order to be profitable, because you cannot win if that day is not your lucky day. Gambling is best enjoyed when you don't stress yourself but place your bet, enjoy the fun and accept the outcome of the game.
Sadly, I don't believe in a lucky day anymore. I know there's an algorithm working underneath those online casinos and for me it's being there at the right time which can give you the high multiplier. Luck is different from that, it can be coincidence only.
Now, there's also what we call RTP that is working and sometimes we confuse that with luck. Let's say we lose $1000 within a week, then we suddenly win a 500x multiplier, that's not luck but more of the RTP clicking in and paying you back a part of what you had lost.
We may also confuse that as our intuition when we suddenly change the game that we are playing to try a new one and then we win. It's not.