Al Nassr's chances of winning should be quite high, considering Al Raed's performance is also not good. Al Nassr won and they will be better with some winning points added. Only if they do not play well enough, do they have to accept the result. Al Nassr needs winning points to compete in the standings, as well as Al Raed needs winning points to move away from the relegation zone.
Al Nassr will still be the favorite, but we will see how they do it.
I agree with your opinion, of course if you look at the match statistics Al nassr is definitely more dominant, it is very difficult to beat them in this match, it could even be a moment of slaughter for Cristiano Ronaldo cs.
Al raed has a very bad game pattern, the defence is vulnerable to being broken into by the opposing team, as well as the attack which is less sharp so it is easily held by the opposing defender, even in the previous match Al raed was slaughtered 2-0 by Al Okhdood Club and also Al Kholood in the last match, this makes them even worse plus this time the opponent is Al nassr, in my opinion what they can do is make the goal difference as minimal as possible.