Real Madrid = 49 points
Barcelona = 42 points
It is unlikely that Real Madrid will lose 3 games to the point that Barcelona will stay at the top of the table. This season Real Madrid will be champion. At most Barcelona could finish in second place, but they will have to pray that Atlético Madrid loses points. Barcelona is doing well in the European Champions League, I think at least there they might have a chance
It is noteworthy that Real's chances are estimated by bookmakers as 1.44. This is a 69.5% probability. In my opinion, this is an underestimation of Real, since it turns out that Real will lose the title with almost a one-third probability. For me, this is not logical: Real was the favorite before the season and is now making use of its advantage - a comfortable gap from its pursuers. If we think logically, then the gap should increase further, not decrease.