Post
Topic
Board Economics
Re: Has DeepSeek burst the US tech bubble?
by
Fortify
on 02/02/2025, 15:51:45 UTC
I don't know if you've heard by now, but today's dip is mainly because DeepSeek, a Chinese artificial intelligence company has developed an open-source artificial intelligence model that some say works better than ChatGPT and other US AIs, and more importantly, does it for a fraction of the cost. This comes shortly after the US announced a $500B investment in AI.

The tech bubble has been behind the success of Nvidia, the world's most profitable company until MicroStrategy came into play. These companies, many of which have AI projects, have caused a huge demand for hardware that with the success of DeepSeek is now in doubt as to whether it will continue to be needed.

As a result, Nvidia is currently down 17% in today's session, and the Nasdaq is down 3.32%. As you may have noticed it has affected the markets in general and also bitcoin and cryptocurrencies which are also trading down today.

Here is an article on the subject: Why Is DeepSeek Sinking Nvidia Stock?

What do you think about it?


I'm not sure the bubble has anywhere near burst and it would actually be nice if it was ratcheted down in stages rather than a big bang happening, so this could be a useful setback. We are too used to this peak and trough type of economics, where people exceed at both ends - betting over the actual value in the good times and then selling like crazy in sheer panic when the inevitable bad times hit. It was a big wake up call in the tech industry though, because some of these companies thought they were the pioneers yet a much nimbler opponent has caught up with a fraction of the resources. It created massive ripple effects too with even data center providers, who had expected required expansion, realizing that they don't need as much computing power as originally expected to achieve the same results. Even OpenAI/ChatGPT were anticipating spending tens of billions a year in the next decade, which is proving much higher than will be necessary.