This raises an important question: What if the safest move isn’t to trade in and out but to rethink the entire approach?
That's the question. That's also the answer in itself. The safest move is the one that you have planned for so long and you are about to execute it. If you don't have any plans of trading at all then don't trade. Trading seems to be gloried by many other guessing traders and thinking that they'd win easy there. It's a bloody market if you're going to trade regardless of what cycle we are in, and that's right, the safest move is not to trade at all. Accumulate, save and HODL.