Post
Topic
Board Mining speculation
Re: 2025 Difficulty thread. Planning to make 2025 the last one I do.
by
danieleither
on 09/02/2025, 03:07:43 UTC
Am I seeing correctly? The mempool is almost empty, with fees at a minimum, and will the difficulty increase?

Latest Block:   882866  (39 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   105.7663%  (1875 / 1772.78 expected, 102.22 ahead)
Previous Difficulty:   110451907374649.5                           
Current Difficulty:   108105433845147.2                           
Next Difficulty:   between 114328481686848 and 114360842525653
Next Difficulty Change:   between +5.7565% and +5.7864%
Previous Retarget:   January 27, 2025 at 3:19 AM  (-2.1244%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Tomorrow at 9:00 AM  (in 0d 22h 13m 7s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Tomorrow at 9:05 AM  (in 0d 22h 18m 30s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 13d 5h 40m 53s and 13d 5h 46m 16s

What is the logical reason for this to happen? Wouldn't it make more sense to reduce the difficulty by possibly shutting down machines?

Well there is variance Maybe we did not drop -2% last jump

and maybe we did not gain the +5% this jump.


Also the s21xp really works efficiently. Many days my 2 do around 12.5 watts a th. So we could just be seeing companies switching out s21's for s21 xp's

a 17 or 18 watter for a 12.5 to 13.5 watter is a big improvement

200 th burning 3500 watts
270 th burning 3500 watts

70 th for free in terms of power cost.

70 x 5.5 cents is $3.85 a day more income for same power cost.

You can't just compare on efficiency. yes for sure, the S21 XP massively outperforms it's rivals, but it's performance is relevant only if you have poor electricity cost. In most situations (e.g. decent power cost), the upgrade from S21 to S21 XP will not benefit you