in sports betting, people often stick to what they know and what has been known in the past people tend to analyze results of the past and tend to apply it again in recent and most of the time it pays off
aside from the live matches there are also bets that do not really involve the match at all like for example teams and players’ contracts
if someone had betted on luka dončić being traded and everyone would have betted against that then that person would have made some good money but seeing as the news has been surprising for almost everyone it is quite a reach to make bets this unrealistic
sometimes though it seems to pay off to take some big risks and make outrageous predictions
I believe these bets should be done as a result of an information or speculation based on a development or the other, no one just wakes up and better on absurd possibilities and expects it to possibly convert.
For example Mo Salah who has his contract terminating and haven't been offered an extension contract, it's wise to predict him to leave or stay. That's rational enough than staking for Cole Palmer tho leave Chelsea which isn't even in the possibilities at the moment.
The should be a tangible reason to place such bets, else you're just throwing funds away for nothing .