in sports betting, people often stick to what they know and what has been known in the past people tend to analyze results of the past and tend to apply it again in recent and most of the time it pays off
aside from the live matches there are also bets that do not really involve the match at all like for example teams and players’ contracts
if someone had betted on luka dončić being traded and everyone would have betted against that then that person would have made some good money but seeing as the news has been surprising for almost everyone it is quite a reach to make bets this unrealistic
sometimes though it seems to pay off to take some big risks and make outrageous predictions
Gambling with irrational predictions is more risky because if you gamble with irrational predictions, there is absolutely no chance of winning the bet, then it is completely up to luck. I have never gambled with irrational predictions in any match so far. I have always made correct predictions and placed bets on matches that are likely to win because I know that crazy predictions and crazy bets can never help me win in gambling. So I think it is important to bet with correct predictions in every match because correct predictions definitely help in winning the bet.
If you are an experience gambler and also a person that regularly watch matches and stay updated with team's performance, you can quickly make some random prediction which might not totally depends on just luck but also on your ability to know that the team is strong enough to defeat the opposite team. Although, you can not also win every of your prediction because the opposite can always happen.