I do not see the normal 4 year cycle happening this time at all.
This is possible.
I’ll believe it when I see it. As much as we try to explain the day to day movements in the market by human behavior and influence, when you zoom out Bitcoin doesn’t care about any of it. I don’t think this cycle will be any different. I suspect we’ll top late this year as expected and crash down to cycle lows in early 2028.
“4-year cycle. Everybody knows the rules.”
- Dave Portnoy (*if he reviewed Bitcoin instead of pizza)
Why the low in 2028? If you are convinced that the 4years cycle will repeat, then the bottom of BTC is approximately 1 year after the 'final' ATH, so approximately at the end of 2026 in that example...
Yes, that's how I expect it:
Cycle high @ Q4 2025
Cycle low @ Q4 2026
I think the cycle breaks this year.
At least the 4 year concept.
We did new ath before the 1/2 ing
We cracked 100k way early last dec
And we may have witnessed the ath on January 20 a few hours before the musky trumpeter was signed in