A lot of people are not able to limit themselves to less than 10% trading (and shitcoining), yet those who do will likely come to see that trading is a very difficult thing to accomplish, including taking a long to time to practice in order to get it to be consistently profitable, especially over a longer timeline, such as 4-8 years... the longer the time frame, the more likely they would have had been way better off just buying bitcoin and sticking with a focus on accumulating bitcoin.. yet it is understandable that they might want to try to outsmart the market.. so if they can at least limit themselves to less than 10% for their trading and shitcoining, then they can really find out whether they have abilities to trade and to actually outperform bitcoin over a longer timeframe.
Funny enough, those that want to outperform the market end up losing. Even though surely they make some peunot but can't be compared to people who Hodl for long.
Those who find it difficult to limit themselves to less than %10 trading on shitcoins or Bitcoin are just being addicted
Trading can be a serious addiction Hence people underestimate it. Surely whenever a person proclaim to trade with %10 and surely over spend and use above %10 it becomes addiction. There are folks who might have been accumulating for a long period of time but was tempted to trade above %10 of their HODLings and gradually Trading above the %10 and thinking they will stop but little to no time 4-8 years passed their %100 HODLings may be seriously tamperd which is caused by addiction. So it's better people don't even give trading a chance otherwise it will leed to trading below %10 to above %10, or trading of the total amount accumulated because of greed. Even though most guys will be resistance to it while majority will fall to the trap.
Many times when some traders and/or shitcoiners proclaim that they are being reasonable, and proclaiming that they are conservative because they also hold some bitcoin, they will end up having 10% to 20% of their holdings in bitcoin and the rest is trading shitcoins, and most likely they end up losing a lot and wasting a lot of time before they realize that that they would have had been better to allocate in the opposite kind of way.. and surely some of them never really learn, and they will spend 8-10 years or more fucking around with trading/gambling and/or shitcoining and really never make much if any progress in their networth... especially as compared to the person who focused almost exclusively on bitcoin. The exceptions of outperforming a bitcoin focused person, especially over a couple of cycles would be a quite rare phenomena, even though a lot of them brag as if they are able to, yet if we get down to comparing actual numbers, they end up having to recognize that investing into bitcoin has been the superior way..and there is no reason to conclude that staying focused on bitcoin won't continue to be the superior way.
This is a story of a man named Jake who lost some million of dollars in 20minuts of trading. Here is what he said
I lost millions through cryptocurrency trading addiction' You can read a little bit of the story. I find this story as I was making research. And this is as a result of looking for quick way of making money. One thing we should avoid mostly is greed, greed is the reason why most people fall into the trap of losing huge sum of amount. Emagine having millions of dollars which could have been safe in his wallet but due to lack of contentment and greed will make a person lose fortune chasing after rats. I could remember some years ago when I was chasing mouse in my room trying to kill it, I eventually broke some of my expensive plate trying to kill the mouse. that is just to say that we must have a second thought whenever we are talking any action or doing anything to see how the outcome will be. If it will be disastrous then caution need to be applied. A reasonable person will evisearch the end from the beginning that is why Holders are smarter than traders. But traders don't see the end from the beginning that's why they fall victim. This type of story should be a motivation to be more careful an never fall to such traps.
Sure. Like you said, sometimes the guy who wants to trade will start out trading a small amount, and maybe if he has some wins, then he will increase the amount, and he might have difficulties figuring out how to size is various bets, and maybe he wins some and loses some, but he inevitably goes down a path of taking too many chances...so it is quite difficult to figure out ways to limit ourselves when it comes to trading, whether we are trading bitcoin or shitcoins or something else, and yeah, we may also see that there are various kinds of shitcoins that will have a lot of volatility, which shows good possibilities for gains, but they are still difficult to trade, even if someone has a lot of trading experiences. A lot of time, energy and value ends up getting focused into areas that are not really very productive, even if some guys might have intentions to fold their profits into bitcoin, it just tends not to end well without a lot of practice.
One of the reasons that I had suggested previously for some guys to be really strict with any new money 90% goes into bitcoin and 10% goes into shitcoins.. so if a guy has $100 every week then $90 would go into bitcoin and $10 would go for shitcoin trading... and then keep them separate, and let them both build up, yet one of the problems that the trader/gambler has is that he feels that 10% is not enough and he needs more to prove his points about the profitability of trading, yet it is not true. There should be no reason that he needs more than 10% and he can build it up, and see how it does over 1-2 years or more. After 2 years, he would have had put $1,040 into his trading account, and he would have put $9,360 into bitcoin. After 10 years he would have had put $5,200 into his trading account, and he would have had put $46,800 into his bitcoin investment account. He should be able to measure how each of the funds had been performing relative to each other. It can be fun to monitor the differences in performance for each of the categories of funds, too.
Many traders do not have that level of discipline to create strict separate funds and to use their trading funds without tapping into their bitcoin investment, and to keep track of their trading funds separately, and sure if they find that after more than a whole cycle that they are able to outperform their bitcoin investment, then they might be able to identify that they are exercising good trades, and they can try to figure out if it is worth it to continue, and even decide for themselves if they want to make any changes to how they are making their trades, and what kinds of projects they are investing into... It would surely be pretty rare that a trading account would be able to out perform just regular buying of bitcoin over 8-10 years...and of course, the amounts would be greater if the guy got a $4k bonus then $400 would go into the trading account and $3,600 into the bitcoin investment, and if the trading account is making gains that are greater than bitcoin's gains, then the growth in the investment account would allow for more value to be able to invest. And, surely there are some folks who are able to grow their trading account in consistent ways that are even better than bitcoin. They are rare, but they do exist.
Of course, guys are free to do whatever they like, and they might come to conclude that after 2-3 years of practice, they have built a lot of good risk management systems and ways to hedge their bet, whether they employ leverage or not might another question, and they might end up changing their allocations to go more than 10% into their trading account, and sure at least they spent time practicing and learning their limits, and there is no real way that any of us can make judgements for other people, yet if they are practicing disciplined trading for 2-3 years, then they likely get some pretty good ideas about various ways of setting up their trades.. and I still believe that they are not going to have very good odds of beating a BTC buy and hold strategy, yet each of us is responsible for our choices, and each of us is in a potentially better position to identify our talents or our lack of talents, even though so many traders do not beat the performance of regular bitcoin investing, there are going to be some who are able to actually beat it by employing solid techniques that they have identified to work..... even accounting for various periods that they should actually be in bitcoin during periods that it goes up a lot in short periods, and there is almost no way to identify those periods, but maybe whatever they do with their trading is able to have a sufficient amount of profits that make up for the times that they are not in bitcoin with their trading account.
I don't think that a trader will be able to outsmart a bitcoin investor in the long run who is only buying and hodli. The reason why I said so is that traders like to take unnecessary risk and they don't think about the outcome of such decisions. You will see that if a trader is making little profits, he will not be pleased with it, because he wants to get rich quick and he can increase his trading amount or if possible trade will all his profits at once believing that he will be profitable but most times it turns out the opposite.
Based you what you said above about someone who has $100, and should put $10 into trading/shitcoins. I believe that in a circle, that person might not be able to still have that $1040 in his trading account again, it will be lower or he has lost it all because I don't think that he can be on a regular profit unlike his bitcoin investment that he is not touching but increasing in value as bitcoin price increases. Imagine when you put $10 in your trading account, that person might want to trade immediately without patience and I believe that before he will add the next $10 to make it $20, he might have lost the first, or when making profit, along the line, he will not be able to discipline himself and lose all his trading portfolio.
Investing is easy and the best compared to trading because it's stress free and for future purpose, but with all the stress in trading and emotional trauma when bitcoin price dips, can make you unstable and make wrong decisions that will cost you to run at big loss. I know that no invest is guaranteed in future for profits, but I hate involving myself in actions that the chance of losing is higher than making profits. A lot of traders became mute when bitcoin reached $100k, due to regrets because they knew what they have missed for gambling with their bitcoin that they bought at lower price. This is how majority of traders will keep on regreting in their lives now and in future.