[...] Pro-Ruzzian stuff [...]
You are late in the news. The US has requested Zelensky to basically give nearly all the mineral resources and a bunch of other things in exchange for nothing, an it was rejected.
Shortly after Trump started calling Zelensky this and that and claiming elections in Ukraine. You do not have to be very smart to understand that elections cannot be carried out:
1 - A large number of people are in the front, and you cannot call them back because THERE IS A WAR.
2 - The risk of influence from Ruzzia in the elections and manipulations is huge because THERE IS A WAR.
3 - The last brilliant idea is to have a ceaser fire and then elections, which is impossible because there will STILL BE A WAR.
I do get that it would be the easy way out, but it is not going to happen. Now:
Ruzzias negotiating position has not changed since the first Ukrainian counter-offensive. Namely:
- Ukraine will not have a noticeable army so it can be invaded again in a few years.
- Ukraine will not be in NATO so it can be invaded again in a few years.
- Ukraine will recognise all the occupied territories, so that these become Ruzzia and further attempt to take them are a direct attack on Ruzzia.
And a few other things like forcing elections in Ukraine right here right now, not recognising Zelensky...
As anyone can figure out, Ukraine will not accept this. I mean, you do not need to be a genius. I mean, only a Kremlin puppet would.
So, can Ukraine keep on the fight?
Without US support it may be difficult to recover ground, but it may be possible to keep a standstill. I am saying this because the front is not moving as it used to. Even from time to time Ukraine recovers a bit here and a bit there.
All this depends on a very motivated player, Europe. Can Europe stick the finguer out, pay what needs to be paid and start re-building the military industry? Only if the EU takes it seriously.
And how long does the fight need to go on:
- Ruzzia is gaining ground at the slowed pace ever in the last 3 years (except during the brief Ukrainian counter-attacks).
- Ruzzia economy is just collapsing. And it is no me saying it, it is the top technocrat of Ruzzia (obviously she mentions "factors" because she cannot say "war" and "military spending" but the choice is going to hyperinflation or less military spending. Again, no me saying it, it is Ruzzia.
https://youtu.be/CUOmDrgi8XM?t=37- There are plenty of satellite pictures that show a radical decrease of the soviet stock of vehicles. The slowing of the front is fully linked to lack of adequate means.
My guess is that if Ukraine can keep destroying refineries with their own technology (seem to be working well), get enough means to freeze the conflict it could be one more year at least.
However, the US is doing such a big favour to Ruzzia... I guess Trump is expecting a very very big thank you$$$