It's still too early to say that a strong team can win the Champions League title this season. The round of 16 has just started, where the big teams in the English League are in poor condition, as are the representative teams from the Spanish League. The Premier League team is dominating the champions. Like Liverpool in Onfire condition, not only that, Barcelona is also in the best performance. In the last 16 of the Champions League, there is still a popular team remaining, namely Real Madrid, they always give surprises at the end of the match. I think Ancelotti has put together the best possible strategy to be able to advance to the round next.
What you said is something true, that at this time it is still too early to say who can get the title, although in percentage each team has a different chance of who can get the title. However, once again it is only a percentage which can be very different from what will happen later. We have just entered the round of 16 and there are also many meetings between big teams that will definitely be difficult to predict. Not to mention if we talk about luck that usually happens in this Champions League. So I myself am not too hasty to say who can be the champion.
It is not difficult to name the team that will win the title by being in the Round of 16, but it is impossible. You may be able to predict a specific round, but depending on the winning percentage, your prediction may be somewhat correct. But if you try to pick 1 team out of 16 teams, then you will definitely have to rely on luck, but the probability of your prediction being correct is about 30%. I will definitely wait until the semi-finals to announce the team that will win the title. Even from that stage, the probability of my prediction being correct is very low, maybe 50%.
At present, I am not focusing much on the champion team, but on the team that will win the Round of 16. I cannot even say anything accurately about who will be in the last 8 teams. So I would not like to rush to predict the team that will win the title at all. Maybe this name can be announced after the semi-finals.