Bilbao has a good record in the previous meeting, so it will be more motivation for them to win this match. If they win, then they will narrow the points gap with Atletico Madrid, it is a good opportunity for them. It is quite interesting when looking at the records in the last 5 matches of both clubs, because they both have 3 draws and 2 wins, that is the same record. So I agree that this will be a tight match, and if a draw occurs, then it is something natural and not surprising at all.
Athletic Club is in a very good situation now. We have not seen Athletic Bilbao lose a match for a long time. And Athletic Bilbao's defense is quite strong. However, Atletico Madrid is not a weak team either. They are fighting for the title this season.

Atletico Madrid vs Bilbao matches are always very competitive. I checked the statistics of the last 5 matches between them. We have seen Atletico Madrid win the last two matches. And Athletic Bilbao won the previous three matches. But every match was very competitive.
Yeah, Athletic Club has a 16-game unbeaten streak in La Liga, that’s not just luck, that’s solid team structure and a midfield that knows how to control the game. Oihan Sancet’s injury is a BIG problem. He’s their top scorer in La Liga (13 goals), their creative outlet, and without him, the midfield is gonna feel like it’s missing an engine
Atleti, on the other hand, has 28 points from 13 home games at the Metropolitano. And they’ve got Griezmann, who’s been in ridiculous form, AND Sørloth, who’s been low-key their most efficient impact player with 15 goal contributions. Simeone rotating Álvarez and De Paul for freshness means they’re going in with a strong squad
Yeah, the last five meetings were split, but this one? This is different. Atlético has depth, home advantage, and momentum despite that Copa del Rey draw vs. Barcelona. Athletic Club has the form, but without Sancet, that attack is gonna rely too much on the Williams brothers. 2-1 Atletico sounds like the right call