Yes but when we talk about the type of casino game then intuition works as the basis for decision making every time we want to play, but in the end it is clear regardless of the type of game, luck is always the most important factor to be able to achieve victory and in sports betting executing bets based on intuition in my opinion is a decision that is quite unfortunate, it does not mean that you will lose completely but as we know that skills do have a role that is also quite important to increase opportunities but yes it cannot fully guarantee victory which for example as you have explained above that it is not uncommon for stronger teams to lose, and this is the reason why setting limits on the amount bet and our expectations of victory must still be applied.
Expectations sometimes go beyond our abilities because even though we use intuition and skills, we still end up losing the bet. So in this case we may realize that something we do is not going as it should because if we say intuition and skill can increase the chances of winning then there are many people who are currently richer in gambling. I agree with the statement that gambling is only for fun and we limit the budget involved in it so that whatever happens is much easier to control. Regardless of how someone implements gambling, there are many cases that end badly when gambling is done excessively and this happens everywhere based on undeniable facts regarding previous events.
Gambling or betting on which it doesnt really have any limitations will really be leading into disaster and this is why risks management and control will be needed specially if you are really that dealing up with gambling or betting. Talking about trusting up your intuition then it will really be that up to you on how you would really be taking it seriously whether it would really be that replacing your analysis or would really be sticking into that. Just like on what other people been saying that it will really be that depending on the history that you do have whenever you do have a good winning rate with intuition calls or not. It will be just that common sense that at the moment that you will be choosing on which one will be bringing that outmost profits and it will be situation. Sometimes intuition and analysis do really get in line on which this will really be that bringing out that 100% confidence but always be considerate about on the money or bet amount that you do put up because some people do mess up their entire bankroll at the moment that they've been that become that confident with their bets on which the worst is that they do make out that all in bet and without thinking about on the risks involved.