I would probably need closer to 100 to 1 to take the other side of that bet.. even though surely it is problematic for guys to be making proclamations with such high certainty. 


Surely it is not good to probe guys too much in regards to particulars, unless there might be certain agendas that the guys might be pushing.. .. I mean to just presume that a forum member is a whale based on some of his posts can be problematic - even though surely, proudhon tends to deserve such probing.. It surely could be possible that vapourminer has more than 0.6303 cornz, yet at the same time, many of us will describe both real world and even hypothetical facts that may not even be completely based on real live people, but might relate to people we know, so we mix some of  those details into descriptions that are described, including that I recall that he had discussed that mistakes were made and also he seems to sometimes be skimping on his ramen ingredients, even though I seem to recall that he might have been one of those guys putting shrimp in while other guys were barely able to upgrade to eggs (back when eggs were cheaper than shrimp).. and also including that he seems to be sleeping so much, too.. which probably means that he hardly is able to generate any money in the first place.. and he might be half dreaming in regards to any of his actual contents, anyhow..

Oh, and by the way, even if 1/3 saved ended up being a large amount, there are a lot of guys who spent a lot of their saved coins at various points along the way, and yeah it is not so easy to be spending coins when sleeping so much, but people do sometimes buy things and have living expenses too. .including that some folks might be spending extra to show that they have a new car in their parking lot every 2-3 years rather than being a wee bit ostentation.. don't you get that ostentatious feeling from vapourminer... when you really ponder over his inability to stick with eggs in his Ramen when everyone was doing eggs. . back in the days when eggs used to be great?

Even though sometimes like to present hypotheticals, I will say that I am not completely innocent when it comes to seemingly probing into the circumstances of other guys.


Fair enough.

I might have a personality problem, since there are so many guys that say outrageous things in these here parts.


You can have a lot of ideas about why the BTC price does x or y, yet I doubt too many of the longer term bitcoiners trying to play these kinds of waves - or even using technical analysis to try to increase their BTC stack size... but yeah, we are not completely free of traders, and they do pop in this thread from time to time and say that they are playing the waves.. which does not seem to pan out as well as either mostly preparing for UP or maybe trying to play the longer waves, such as the 4-year cycles, which is not so much a technical analysis kind of a call.. even though blow off tops can sometimes seem obvious, especially after they are over (like 6 to 9 months later, for example).


A lot of gobbledey-gook in your write-up .. to the extent that you wrote that with a lot of crypto and blockchain bullshit too.. whatever that is supposed to mean. 

I just checked your post with Quillbot, and it said 100% likely to be AI..

Why you spouting out AI nonsense in this thread without saying that you are doing it?