Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Buy Buy Buy or Sell Sell Sell?
by
Tonimez
on 06/03/2025, 06:25:19 UTC
Yet, 15-20-30 years down the road, we can not really project specifics, yet we can kind of ball-parkedly estimate how many BTC we believe it is going to take in order to reach our entry fuck you status level, and it could well be the case that some of us might end up getting close to reaching such status sooner than expected, such as reaching such status within 15 years rather than needing 30 years to get to such status, and we cannot really know in advance regarding how long it might take to reach such status, yet we still might start to realize the extent to which we are getting close to reaching such status,
yeah.. considering my first comment when i explained that there could be a certain age we attain and we might be considering shaving off some potion maybe having initial plan of 20years investment but down the road we decide to shave off at 15 years of investment without reaching the fuck you status, but with this statement you've made i have also remembered that we might not necessarily reach the speculated time as planned if we can be able to increase our bitcoin investment. lets say even without considering our age, we might decide to increase our DCA investment from initial weekly $20 to $100 if we have enough discretion and our target in the fuck you status will be achieve faster than expected. lets per say if $20 weekly DCA in 20 years would give us $22k to maybe $25k then $100 weekly for 10 years will give us approximately $50k+ even if my calculation is not proven, but base on assumption the amount of bitcoin achieved in this 10 years interval or time frame more better than the $22k of 20 years. at least an aging man with such investment will shave off earlier than he planned because of his increase in regular investment.

A lot of poor people are going to be tempted to cash out some or a lot of their BTC investment too soon.. .. which is getting them into the too much too soon category, and also ending  up delaying or even preventing them from ever reaching fuck you status.

Regarding your amounts, sure we give estimates in which with the passage of time, if we are young, we may well expect that we will be able to increase our income with the passage of time,  yet we can still attempt to give some estimates about how aggressively that we might predict that we are able to invest  into bitcoin. 

So with your example of numbers, if a person might have had started out investing at $20 per week, we might  consider that he would invest $1,040 per year, and so then $10,400 in 10 years and then $20,800 in 20 years.  Now if our investment into bitcoin was purely flat and did not appreciate in value, then perhaps it would be worth around the same  amount that we put into it, yet there are decently good chances that it will increase in value faster than the debasement of the dollar (or any other fiat that you might be using in the next 20 years), so we might project that the amount invested plus the growth rate over  20 years may well end up in more than one compounding of value.. so it could end up with 2x to 8x or more of the value of the amount that you put in.. so if you put in $21k, then maybe your value could end up being somewhere in the ballpark of $40k  to $160k or more.

Sure, if you were able to invest $100 per week rather than $20 per week, then your amount contributed would go up by 5, and the magnified amount would also go up by 5, and so if you had been investing $104k ($20.8k * 5), then you may well end up with results that are $200k to $800k or more.

Of course, none of the matters are  guaranteed, yet we should attempt to be open enough in our thinking that we understand the magnitude of a variety of possible scenarios, which is part of the reason why many of us longer term bitcoiners are suggesting that other members attempt to invest into bitcoin as aggressively as they are able to accomplish without over doing it, and sure it still could end up taking a fucking ton of time to still reach a kind of entry-level fuck you status, yet at the same time, your timeline for reaching entry-level fuck you status can end up being reduced a whole hell of a lot by being as aggressive as you are able to, and surely you have to be careful not to over do it and to contribute to a premature recking of yourself because you ended up devolving into gambling (and too much risk taking) rather than attempting to be prudent in your investing into bitcoin, even if you are attempting to balance your approach with being both prudent and aggressive at the same time.
Striking a balance between "prudence and aggressive" is the last keywords. Some investors have this unbalanced approach to bitcoin investment which has ended the wrong way leading to premature selling of bitcoin stash and possibly leaving bitcoin investment at loss. Futhermore, not everyone's income could allow the investment of up to $20 weekly as some low income earners don't make up to that amount weekly not to talk of having such amount as their discretionary income. But this doesn't make anyone unqualified to invest in bitcoin. Bitcoin lowest possible investment is at a little above $1 which I feel almost every bitcoin investor could have a discretionary income of up to $2 weekly which if  followed strictly for 10 years could also make a good fortune with less stress. $2*52weeks=104, $104*10years would be $10,040 which could result to (according to @jayjuangee's prediction) $20,080 or $50,200 in ten years or more.

Either way, DCA approach is the principle behind this, even if it's aggressive or prudential. Traders don't like long-term approach because they're impatient and greedy.