Looking at the odds provided by the bookies, I doubt Nottingham can beat Man City. Even to hold a draw seems impossible. I appreciate your prediction because anyone believes that Man City's performance is unstable. But in this case I still believe Man City will get full points in this match. And one thing that makes me more confident is because KDB is back and makes Haaland confident again.
But there's no harm in taking a risk on a draw to get big odds and waiting for City to make a mistake.
Just like you i also put a bet on Manchester City in this match, they are quite consistent in the previous matches, giving a pretty good performance even though they are not optimal, because again the main problem is in the fragile defense, but this makes them worthy of winning compared to Nottingham Forest, who performed quite badly in the previous matches, especially in the last three matches.
The more interesting for City because if they can win this match, their position will be more advantaged by being ranked 3rd in the standings, it is possible that Arsenal points will be overtaken if they lose in the next 2 matches, but it will be wishful thinking if City can't win this match.