Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Oh yes, many people are still using the past results to judge the future which is wrong because the price of bitcoin is volatile and fluctuating.
You might be correct, since the level of bitcoin adoption is still quite low (perhaps around less than 1% of the world's population), yet there is still a lot of variance in regards to some folks who buy bitcoin and get out and some folks who stick with bitcoin and some folks who have not yet gotten into bitcoin and some folks who are going to be coming to bitcoin at a later date.
The people that I own the existence of bitcoin are more and I might say they are up to 90% but the adoption is very small. And as you said it will 1%. I am saying this base on the experience from my street. Whoever I asked if they know bitcoin and they said yes but they are not investing and if I way why, they would give one excuse to another. Many k ow it but few are investing.
There can also be variations of right and variations of wrong, since some folks will have had invested into bitcoin aggressively and others will have invested into bitcoin whimpily. Some persons might have become more aggressive with the passage of time, and others might have become more whimpy with the passage of time. I doubt that the matter is black and white, even though there are coiners and there are no coiners, yet at the same time, some coiners have been into bitcoin for longer periods than others, yet even some of the longer term bitcoiners might have made mistakes of either not accumulating enough BTC or selling too much too soon... or sometimes leveraging and/or becoming overly aggressive and recking themselves in the process of "investing into bitcoin."
I will say the aggressive investors are those who have money to invest big amounts at once or whenever they are investing. People like Elon Musk invest aggressively.
There is a certain value that come from both investing into bitcoin and also continuing to study bitcoin, without presuming that we know more than we know.
Learning is a continuous thing that has no ending. Some folks believe they have known all but there are many things they have not heard in their area of study and bitcoin has a wide scope to cover so we learn every day.