Just wanna share my experience.. based on what I’ve noticed, whenever I overthink and overanalyze a game, I tend to lose more than I win. Since I consider a lot of factors, mainly stats, I sometimes end up second-guessing myself. There are times when I spot a line that seems like a public play or something designed to attract the public, so even if my gut tells me to bet on a specific team because they’re clearly better, another part of me hesitates, thinking it might be a trap and that public perception could be wrong.
Has this ever happened to you too?
In fact, no matter how much we give our personal opinions, at the end of the day gambling always depends on luck.
If I share my experience from yesterday, it will be much clearer. For example, before the start of yesterday's match between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid, my feelings were that this match would be a draw like the previous one, I mean the Copa del Rey Semi-Finals match. But later, after the match started, seeing Barcelona's performance in maintaining the match position for 40 minutes, I placed my bet on Barcelona.
And later, when I saw that Atletico had scored two goals in just 70 minutes and Barcelona had not scored a single goal, I had such feelings that Barcelona might lose the match. But then, two minutes later, they started their recovery, although when 90 minutes passed, I thought again that my first guessing time was going to be true, the match would be a draw. And later, when I went to the wash room and came back, I saw that Barcelona had won the match 4-2.
Now if you say I didn't overanalyze this match then it would be wrong to say that but ultimately I won the bet. So since betting depends on luck, it should be left to chance.