Just wanna share my experience.. based on what I’ve noticed, whenever I overthink and overanalyze a game, I tend to lose more than I win. Since I consider a lot of factors, mainly stats, I sometimes end up second-guessing myself. There are times when I spot a line that seems like a public play or something designed to attract the public, so even if my gut tells me to bet on a specific team because they’re clearly better, another part of me hesitates, thinking it might be a trap and that public perception could be wrong.
Has this ever happened to you too?
What i do for sports i bet on, i put my own personal line on the game and if there is huge value between mine and what the book has then i bet it. But you arent wrong there are some lines that completely look like a trap line. But sometimes the odds are just good. That doesnt mean you will always win those games but thats how you get perceived edge on the house.