Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: Bitcoin puzzle transaction ~32 BTC prize to who solves it
by
mcdouglasx
on 18/03/2025, 19:55:44 UTC
snip

- all of your science is bogus techno-babble; we're still waiting an explanation on why waiting 10 minutes to continue flipping a coin changes the probabilities of the future outcomes. Ouch, excuse, me, I meant skipping some keys here and there, on basis of a totally refutable religion that it's in any way different from continue scanning the next key.

This is easily debunked: two events can be independent and, together, exhibit compound probability without interfering with each other's independence. We can use several independent events, for example, flipping 3 consecutive heads with coins in 10 attempts, where the probability increases for each attempt. Getting 3 consecutive heads in flips 1, 2, and 3 is not the same as in flips 8, 9, and 10. Therefore, my argument of exploring the most probable spaces first is valid, all of this without contradicting the fundamental principles of probability or the independence of events.