The bitcoin investment is not guaranteed to be profitable down the road, whether we are talking about 4-10 years or longer, yet guys still ongoingly invest into bitcoin because they consider it to be amongst the best, if not the best of asymmetric bets to the upside that is currently available across the planet and to everyone/anyone.
Perhaps it's very clear that in the current world system almost all the patterns only makes the class system to remain reged but bitcoin someone from experience deviated from this system by giving the ordinary guys like us the power or provisions to move from one class to another class by taking a simple action of stacking up bitcoin in a long term vision.
Perhaps guys might not have the conviction that bitcoin will be profitable in the long run, yes it's not guaranteed that bitcoin will give us the profit but perhaps we found ourself in this community with likewise minds who have been holding and are holding till the future hence this is enough conviction for newbies or guys like me to keep buying and/or ongoingly invest in bitcoin because considering every investment bitcoin seem to be the most effective in return of investment in just or with a short period of 4 years but perhaps if only one has invested in the appropriate time like right now and perhaps in a long term of 10 years plus one would for every reason see more why to invest in bitcoin.
There are ways to keep two somewhat contradictory thoughts in mind at the same time.
Bitcoin is not guaranteed to be profitable in the future.
Perhaps it's most likely to be a balanced equation not to take bitcoin of full guarantee yet be positive towards it since from the patterns or past of bitcoin it has never failed to make an increase in value or price within/after the cycles making it one of the best infsce the best investments so far leading governments to introduce Strategic Reserve as a means of reassurance that bitcoin is a paradigm which I always point at from the onset I knew about bitcoin.
Various aspects of the future are based on probabilities rather than certainties, especially when we have various aspects of human conduct included in the formula. Bitcoin can be amazing, while its future also being probabilistic.
at the same time:
Bitcoin is likely amongst the best, if not the best, place to put value, based on it being a fundamentally paradigm-shifting asset that is still quite under-appreciated, under-adopted, and so there is likely a lot of ongoing potential for upside growth since it is an asset that is available to anyone and everyone all around the world.. yet we still ONLY have in the ballpark of less than 1% world-wide adoption, even though there are some hoarders that include institutions, governments and rich people who are sucking up decent amounts of the supply. .and causing the price to go higher, but not based on world-wide adoption, so any individuals who are able to recognize the value of bitcoin as an investment and to make sure that they have bitcoin, are likely to disproportionately profit from their choice so long as they don't make mistakes in regards to their investment into bitcoin that include but are not limited to needs to be able to make sure that they can continue to pay their living expenses bills and to maintain and/or build their bitcoin stash...
Perhaps just like I said above bitcoin in my opinion is a paradigm that shifted the world thoughts from a fiat system to a digital currency which has more of the real definition of money yet is under adopted in terms of world class investment however it holds more potential for profit for both individuals who grabs the opportunity from the onset to invest in it even those who are yet to invest including institutions and governments who are probably getting to hold a good percent of bitcoin in other to keep the centralisation system intact yet bitcoin seems to be deviant in terms of manipulation as much as fiat printing.
Of course, bitcoin is offering something new that has never been previously available, so yeah, we had not been able to hold and transfer digital value prior to bitcoin because of the duplicatability problem which was solved by the way bitcoin is set up to decentrally confirm and verify the digital scarcity.
Sure bitcoin gave individuals who see it's potentials the opportunity to move from one financial class to another mobilising a good number of people in the world to a different financial state including me yet I'm considering to be very under invested in bitcoin yet it has proven the trust however if anyone is yet to see this potentials of bitcoin then they are probably blinded with the fiat system but in some ways some for some restrictions in countries are yet to find out all this about bitcoin. As long as one is able to pay their daily expenses yet with a slight knowledge of bitcoin hence it's most encouraged to grab some good quantities of bitcoin and store in a good wallet (cold storage) hence it's probably going to profit them.
No doubt, the earlier that folks get into bitcoin the better for them personally, even though we still have around 99% of the world's population with no actual direct price exposure. They do not own any and they have none on exchanges either.
And yeah, there are a lot of normies who still have not identified bitcoin as a great place to put value, which is evidenced by the ongoingly low level of adoption and even the low level of seriousness being taken in regards to putting value into bitcoin. We are still early, even though so many folks consider themselves to be late, and they are either no coiners or low coiners. Even a lot of low coiners do not recognize themselves as low coiners (including a lot of members in this forum and in other bitcoin/crypto forums) and they are not prioritizing the ongoing, persistent, consistent and perhaps even aggressive accumulation of bitcoin, even if they might already own some bitcoin (whether if they hold their bitcoin through third parties or in personal custody - perhaps learning how to get into a practice of personal custody is another way that any bitcoiner can establish a level of seriousness when it comes to making sure that they hold a decent amount of their bitcoin value (perhaps more than 75% of their holdings?) within their own private wallet(s) - which is a lot of what gives value and power to bitcoin).
Young folks this days seem to be claiming to be too late to buy bitcoin yet they find themselves convincing each other to go into some kind of shitcoins trying to shift themselves to the early days of bitcoin hoping to be profitable through gambling with shitcoins but perhaps if folks get aggressive enough or even consistent with DCA they might even in/with a short period of 4- 10 years be able to accumulate enough bitcoin to hold in a long term.
Yes, a lot of young people get distracted into shitcoins, and that will likely be to their detriment. Surely, there will be some who come over to bitcoin, and so there are some abilities for young people to make those kinds of mistakes and still be able to recover from their mistakes.
and of course coin security is very paramount but yet if one finds themselves in the early accumulation stage then self custody is probably a second step towards seriousness in holding for a long term yet the first step is to begin with the least one can afford to do without in a certain length of years not necessarily what one can afford to loss however it's most encouraged personally to start first and every other steps will be figured out along the line.
I think that personal financial (cashflow) management is much more important, and still guys can figure out how many BTC they have that might trigger them to put some of their bitcoin (if not most, if not all) into self-custody. I personally think that there will be some advantages to continue to use various custodial solutions for some portions of stash and when transacting BTC with others, yet there will also be value to figure out how to engage in practices to transact directly with others, whether businesses or individuals.