Far from confident, and too close for comfort.

I don't know If what I currently have is an advantage, but in order to win the round I need one of two of possible outcome.

1. Aston Villa keeping a clean sheet and Atalanta to either win or both teams not to score
2. Atalanta to win and both teams to score

If either of the 2 listed possibilities should occur then, I'm walking away with 3 points, or else I could be looking at a draw, although there is a chance of losing, If Atalanta fails to win and both team scores, then Aston Villa concedes a goal.