It is unlikely that Putin is an agent of a foreign state. Many of those who have been in power for a long time (and Putin has been in power for 25 years, and all the country's government bodies are completely subordinate to him) sooner or later begin to suffer from delusions of grandeur. In addition, due to a pathological fear for his life, he does not communicate with the people, surrounded himself with sycophants, as a result, he misperceives the situation, and therefore makes the wrong decisions. In addition, Russia clearly did not count on the stubborn and heroic resistance of the Ukrainian people, and this became a turning point in this war. If Ukraine had wavered in the first months of the attack on it, no one would have come to its aid.

Despite the fact that Trump has now started to play his own game, more than 70 percent of Ukrainians believe that it is necessary to defend their territory even if aid from the United States stops altogether. European countries are ready to continue to support Ukraine, and with such support, Ukraine is capable of finishing off Russia.

Having realized that Ukraine is beyond his reach, Putin can conclude a truce with it and in any case call the results of the war a victory, but it is already dangerous for him to disband his army: the economy is on the verge of collapse and this can cause large-scale riots. Therefore, he can further direct the anger of the military to the Baltic countries, counting on a small victorious war. This is especially dangerous for Lithuania, where Russia can try to seize the Suwalki corridor in order to have access to the Kaliningrad region. The countries of this region are well aware of this and therefore are now trying with all their might to help Ukraine so that Russia will no longer have the strength.