As a firm believer of the 4-year cycle, I still believe that we will see another push towards new ATH before entering the bear market season possibly next year.
I voted for "Over $130000".
If we will see what happened in 2021, the market went up during the first months of 2021 only to retrace for a few months and at the 2nd half of the year, it went up yet again to as high as $69,000 then that ends the bull market season and entering the bear market season. I believe that it will happen again this year. We've seen a pump already when we saw it going to as high as $109,000 and then after that, it retraced to as low as $76,000, and currently we are slowly, but surely going up high and staying above $80,000 for weeks already. If what happened in 2021 will happen again this year, I'm expecting that in the 2nd half of the year or possibly even earlier, we will see a surge towards new ATH.
Of course, we are just speculating here, and it might not happen so let's just be ready.
Whether history repeats itself or not, it depends. In 2021, not only Bitcoin but the entire financial market skyrocketed after the government decided to inject money to save the economy and Bitcoin benefited from this move. So for that to happen again this cycle, we need the tariff war to end soon, the Fed to lower interest rates and quantitative easing…Otherwise, I doubt bitcoin will be able to continue to rise.
In other words, the market is getting bigger and needs more money to fuel it, which means the market is more dependent on the economy.
Like you, I also hope history repeats itself but if things don't go as expected, I believe the bull season will come in 2026 because Trump can't prolong the tariff war.