
It's unique to see that Real Madrid's chances are only 31% to win, because they are the defending champions, and their chances should be greater even play away at the Emirates.
I am sure Ancelotti knows what he was doing. It's not the first time Real Madrid met Arsenal; they even met on the ICC (2019), the Emirates Cup (2008), and the UCL (2006), but Real Madrid did not win it all! Guy, in the last 4 matches, Arsenal won 2 matches, and the rest were a tie. This could be homework that should be fixed immediately because in La Liga, Real Madrid also has a problem with the squad; they lost when met Valencia, and it seems their focus was split between the Copa del Rey final, which drained their energy.
Real Madrid has about 30% chances of winning against Arsenal which might seems low, considering they are the defending champions however several factors contribute to their successes, and on the other hand Arsenals recent performance has been impressive with two wins and two draws in the last four matches, Additionally Real Madrid squad has been dealing with some issues, including a loss to Valencia in La Liga and a split focus between the copa del Rey finals which might have drained thier energy.