Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL!
by
SuperBitMan
on 11/04/2025, 07:32:23 UTC
but I'm pretty sure that non of them that can be patient enough to HODL thier bitcoin right from the early stage when the price of bitcoin was very much affordable till this time that the price have skyrocket, honestly I see no possibility in that.

You are likely blind then, even though you are likely correct that quite a few of the earliest of adopters, even going back to 2012 may well have had sold off portions of their BTC along the way, but if they were starting out with several hundred or even more than 1,000 bitcoin, then even their having had sold many bitcoin along the way, they still may have a lot of bitcoin, such as still having bitcoin in the 100s or even thousands of bitcoin... yet at the same time, even guys who ONLY held less than 100 bitcoin, such as 30-80 bitcoin, these guys would still be in a pretty decently good financial situation right now, even if they might have had sold a lot of their bitcoin along the way.

Frequently the difference in assessing a guys situation in regards to whether he has enough bitcoin or more than enough bitcoin, may well relate to the standard of living that he expects to support, so I personally believe that even right now, as low as 17.52 BTC could support a perpetual income of $80k per year, including adjusting for the debasement of the dollar at 5% or more per year.  Of course, a person might want to have some kind of a cushion, so that he makes sure that he is drawing way less than the rate at which his bitcoin stash is increasing in value... so I personally believing that using the 200-WMA to valuate your bitcoin holdings and to calculate your withdrawal rate will help you to make sure that our bitcoin value is growing faster than your withdrawal rate in the event that you want to enter into some kind of a sustainable withdrawal plan in regards to the quantity of bitcoin that you hold.

You are correct JayJuanGee some of the earliest Bitcoin adopters may have sold some of there Bitcoin but that those not mean they sold off all there accumulated Bitcoin, having that believe in Bitcoin growth and accumulating it then means they will likely be holding some part of there Bitcoin till date.
You are right JJG those earliest of adopters who sold part of there Bitcoin and then just holding less than 100 bitcoin, such as 30-80 bitcoin, till date are actually in a good financial status now because just 1 Bitcoin is a huge some of money now.

Yes JJG using the 200-WMA to valuate our bitcoin holdings and to calculate our withdrawal rate will help us to make sure that our bitcoin value is growing faster than our withdrawal rate.
Those who has accumulated enough Bitcoin it will be proper and better you have a sustainable withdrawal plan so as not to sell more than you should sell, some people that are regretting why they sold so much of there Bitcoin in the past would have not made such mistakes if they had a very good sustainable withdrawal plan.
If anyone is in need of a sustainable withdrawal plan I will suggest you go through this thread first JJG's Bitcoin Investment Ideas (Sustainable Withdrawal / Portfolio Maintenance) it will help you out.