I will choose Nottingham Forest in the match against Everton, and the 2-1 defeat in the match as an away team against Aston Villa will not be a benchmark for Nottingham Forest because in the previous match Everton was defeated by Nottingham Forest with a score of 0-2 without reply at Everton's home.
And I think Nottingham Forest is in a very safe position to get a ticket to the UCL next season because in the remaining matches Nottingham Forest will face a team that was defeated, and certainly Nottingham Forest will maintain its position which is currently in third place in the standings and will try to continue to move away from Chelsea who is currently in fourth place which is only four points away from Nottingham Forest.
I can't dispute your statement which was in favor of Nottingham Forest, because they have done some of Incredible things this season which no one sees coming but the attend to surprise the entire English team. With their consistency I will confidently say they have secured a lot in Champions League since the English team that will appear in the Champions League and currently, Nottingham Forest have secured the third place, despite their performance the really have to put in more effort because the point they lost in their last game against Aston Villa it was so scary due to waking up of Newcastle United. If Newcastle can continue winning all the games it will be a big threat for Nottingham Forest because they will only have one point interval which will be a danger for them.
On the other hands Everton will be having an away match against Nottingham Forest, many will be thinking that Nottingham Forest will be very happy to winning this match but I would like you guys to remember that Everton was a big threat for the top. At least Arsenal tried to draw both Home and Away but Liverpool who are currently the favourite couldn't escape from them at Everton's home.