I will choose Nottingham Forest in the match against Everton, and the 2-1 defeat in the match as an away team against Aston Villa will not be a benchmark for Nottingham Forest because in the previous match Everton was defeated by Nottingham Forest with a score of 0-2 without reply at Everton's home.
And I think Nottingham Forest is in a very safe position to get a ticket to the UCL next season because in the remaining matches Nottingham Forest will face a team that was defeated, and certainly Nottingham Forest will maintain its position which is currently in third place in the standings and will try to continue to move away from Chelsea who is currently in fourth place which is only four points away from Nottingham Forest.
Just because Nottingham Forest won the first leg against Everton doesn't really mean that they will win them again. Right now Everton hasn't won a game in their last five matches and I believe this will ginger them more to try and get a win. From my observation, this is the period when teams that has nothing to fight for start to give headaches to teams that are actually fighting for something. Nottingham Forest just needs to be weary of Everton as they play them.
Without being told, Nottm Forest should be weary of Everton because a team that hasn't won a match in their six matches(having about five draws match and a single match loss) is the unhappy team. They will anticipate a match win more than losing a match point. Because it feels that a point given to them is preferable to having no point added to their total points. Nottm Forest needs strong output of performance to win the match