Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: Bitcoin puzzle transaction ~32 BTC prize to who solves it
by
kTimesG
on 13/04/2025, 15:39:06 UTC
I have developed a prediction model based on the @HomelessPhD model for alpha values:

According to this, puzzle 69 starts with 1ba45e.....
i tried found key in range [ 1ba45e000000000000 ~ 1ba45effffffffffff ],
but not match key.

fail

What did you expect? I hope it wasn't an expensive lesson to learn.

Quote
Only thing here that should be clearly stated is that a model you are using for prognosis should have a number of parameters less than a number of observations - simple polynomial approximation with an order of n will ideally fit the dataset of n points (it will have exactly n roots) just memorizing the data instead of retrieving the logic behind the data - same correct for complex models like SVM or neural networks - they could just memorize (overfit) the data but in a less obvious way - so be carefull using them or you will lose your precious time for mathematical madness.