Just wanna share my experience.. based on what I’ve noticed, whenever I overthink and overanalyze a game, I tend to lose more than I win. Since I consider a lot of factors, mainly stats, I sometimes end up second-guessing myself. There are times when I spot a line that seems like a public play or something designed to attract the public, so even if my gut tells me to bet on a specific team because they’re clearly better, another part of me hesitates, thinking it might be a trap and that public perception could be wrong.
Has this ever happened to you too?
No, it may be the case for you but it is different for me. Before placing a bet, analysis is necessary and I do all the analysis about the team I am betting on. I have to analyze the opposing team because I should try to win the bet. There may be enough signs of hesitation from the past statistics but you should decide based on the recent performance. I analyze the past and try to bet based on the injuries of the team players and the best team performance in the recent past.
You may never have the mentality to bet on the best team based on analysis but in my case the result of the bet was against me due to my decision against my mind.