Real Madrid has very good history when they played at home. They often did some magicals to comeback even when they were at the critical situation. That might be the reason why the are in favor to win the game. However, can't really take google as a good source to predict.
I meant Madrid is not in a good position and they went down 2 0 in term of aggregate. I'm guessing they will against the wall with 10 men + 1 goal keeper in the penalty box. It's such a hard situation for them to secure three goals without conceded a single goal.
The aggregate is 3-0.
The reason why Real Madrid have higher probability to win is Arsenal don't have to win, they can play defensive. If Real Madrid won 2 goals more than Arsenal, they just win the match, but they won't qualify for the next round.
Expecting Arsenal to win is hard because from my own opinion, Arsenal won because they're lucky. The two goals free kick by Rice is really beautiful, I won't deny it, but who can guarantee Arsenal will score again in free kick?
Arsenal were not lucky,this is coming from someone that hates Arsenal,with the way Arsenal dominated the game,took control of the game and every other thing,I think they didn't just win by luck,they won because they were better.
I think Madrid are still going to lose again,Camavingha who was the main reason they didn't concede more goals that day will be missing the match,and as we know,there is nobody that can replicate what he does in that midfield,so it's really going to down on them.
The whole world will be surprised Arsenal won them home and away. Which come back? They won't even be able to score more than a goal in that match,and I know Arsenal,that if Madrid find the back of Arsenal's net,Arsenal will fight back immediately to make sure they don't lose.
Gone are those days when Madrid or any other big team used to intimidate Arsenal or make them fear,the boys at the club now have a believe in their ability,and they are fighting to make sure they qualify to the final knowing fully well that the champions league is the only trophy left for them to fight for.
It is really going to be an interesting match,and if Arsenal decide to defend,Madrid won't see even a goal,if they want to play,Madrid won't see ball to play.