Well, Easter truce. There is a possibility that the active phase of the conflict ended today.
No chance. Maybe there is no missiles and drones attacks, but things in frontline goes as usual. And I just remind that Putin once already announced truce for 2023 Christmas, but battles didn't stopped. And even if words of Putin will turn into reality, everything will start again in full after Easter. Your post reminds me promises from Gordon that ''active phase of war will end by the end of 2024''
The active fase is still going on, although it is being said that there is less intensity.
It also comes after Ukraine stopped a few "serious" attacks in several directions, by serious I mean more than 5 armoured vehicles plus a few motorbikes = that is what Ruzzia can put together nowadays. The drone activity is blocking any major attack and the bit by bit strategy is not sustainable with current oil prices.
Speaking of which, that is what may drive peace of all the factors = Brent is at all time low in the last 3 years. It makes the war difficult to finance by Ruzzia.
But I agree with LTU, this is probably one of many attempts by Putin to fool Trump. Trump has not yet understood "Ruzzian Diplomacy" modus operandi.