Not to create long story! however I did experiment one of my long waited biases yesterday and it did turn out to be some sort of good guess but later failed.
On the basis of AI, I took a chance at Deepseek promoting it to give me a close guess or tips on what team to win football matches yesterday and somehow it gave a good tips with statistics that gave me a chance to be rational in decision making but because of greed and the payout was quite small so I added my own guess to increase the chance of high return and it turnout that my own guess ruined the bet.
Curious to ask, did anyone ever try this out? it could work and also fall.
Sometimes our instincts aren't right, there are also cases where statistics go wrong because the game isn't determined by the players strength alone, there are other factors like the referees decisions which could be biased and end up affecting the entire game's result. However I understand the pain of loosing a bet because you became greedy and added just a few mire game to boast the multiplier but the truth is, for a fact that you weren't satisfied with the first potential win explains that even if you had to play only those games and won the bet you'll have wished you added more games to increase your win, and accumulation of such mindset is the reason most people tries to double the amount after a win which may end up in loss. However learning to appreciate little win might help us not becoming to greedy.