You are only speculating and not sure. Nobody knows when bitcoin price will hit a new ATH or when the bear market will start but we believe that bitcoin will make a new ATH before the bear season which will be a new circle. I hope that we can see a new ATH before the suspension of tariff increment expires. Who knows, it it's after the suspension of the tariff is over that bitcoin will face the bear market.
Off course you're right although we've to be very optimistic as bitcoiners but that doesn't mean that we know when the price of Bitcoin will hit the next ATH and the bear season respectively just as you've said, as for the new ATH we will get their definitely before the bear market begins but when is just the question, I think this same tarriff increment stuf has been the cause for Bitcoin price temporal dip that happen few weeks ago and it seems the parties involved have started shifting ground May be that's why we are noticing the fluctuations from $92k - $97k plus in the recent days but as it now the price of Bitcoin may likely move to $99k or $100k before next week if it keeps moving upward as it has been going in the last few hours.
The market is already bullish and no sign of a bear market yet, we will reach a new ATH just that we don't know when but we should understand that bitcoin have gone through critical stages that are even worst than the effects of the tariff wars and as we can see the whole tariff drama is softening and the market is gaining strength recently, we should just hope another negative news do not appear and cause any tension again as the Trump's tariffs did, because if not for the tariff wars the price would have gotten a new ATH before now but it just slowed the bullish process and delayed the market from reaching a new ATH. The market is gaining more momentum therefore few days from now the price should be approaching $100k after then we can be anticipating a new ATH.