Or are we just betting based on gut feeling following our instincts without even knowing if we’re actually winning in the long run?
As a bettor, we usually combine our predictions with our gut feeling. Because sometimes the predictions we make do not give satisfactory results but our hunches can actually give the right results. But it still does not guarantee long term victory.
I think I’ll just stick to betting on the moneyline, it’s much simpler and feels safer since I’m only picking who will win, without having to worry about how many goals or points they’ll win by. Point spread is too risky for me. I cant tolerate risking my bankroll on it.
In the end what we choose should be based on how safe or more risky we want to be. Moneline safer and less risky, the profit is comfortable while point spread is highly risky, the profits are very high compared to the moneyline.
Nothing is completely safe and without risk. You can even lose your money betting on the favorite team at odds of 1.01.
For me, it's more convenient to bet on point spreads, which offer multiple selections with higher odds that are worth the risk we're taking. While the money line has low odds and is not equal to the risk we choose to take.