Have you ever tried keeping a record to compare the two? And what did you find, which one’s actually more profitable?
It’s easier to pick which team will win, so most people go for the moneyline. But the odds can kill your profit, since the favorites usually have really low payouts. So then you start thinking about betting on the point spread, where the payout is more balanced.
But are we really doing that kind of comparison? Or are we just betting based on gut feeling following our instincts without even knowing if we’re actually winning in the long run?
Odds in the moneyline for the winning team is really low but has higher chance of winning compared to point spread betting.
While in point spread betting, you need to accurately predict the margin of victory for you to win. You don't know if they will play aggressively to create a huge point gap or show an unmotivated play.
Point-spread betting is more profitable but you would need to be more lucky than putting your bet on a moneyline game. For example 2 gamblers bet on 5 games each, gambler1 bet on 5 moneyline games while gambler2 bet on 5 point-spread games. Gambler1 won 3 games with 12$ profit and gambler2 won 2 games with 15$ profit.
To cut it short, moneyline = low risk, low reward / point-spread = high risk, high reward.