Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL!
by
MusaPk
on 12/05/2025, 11:50:49 UTC
I think that part of my earlier attempted point is that the amount that you need likely remains a moving target.  If you feel that you need 4-5 bitcoin today, then that likely would not be a very accurate calculation if you might have ONLY accumulated 1.5 Bitcoin, and so you are quite a ways from the goal, and so if you are thinking that you will be able to accumulate 4-5  bitcoin in the future - like maybe 10-15 years from now, and so far in your bitcoin journey (let's say nearly 3 years), you have ONLY accumulated 1.5 BTC, then it could be quite difficult to reach 4-5 bitcoin in the next 10-ish years.

On the other hand, if you are close to reaching your goal (such as you have already gotten to 3 BTC in the past nearly 3 years), then sure, it may well well be possible to reach 4-5  bitcoin in the next 4-ish years.  Perhaps? perhaps?

I am a little unclear about your proclaiming that you need 4-5 bitcoin, unless you are already close to reaching such staus, yet if you have gotten close to 4 bitcoin and you are not sure whether 4 or 5 bitcoin is enough, then there is quite a bit of difference between 4 bitcoin and 5 bitcoin, unless you are trying to suggest that you need 4.5 Bitcoin, and if you are close to reaching 4 bitcoin, then it could still take you another year or more to accumulate another 0.5 BTC.

In the meantime the quantity of bitcoin needed is going down for certain salary levels.  I would suspect that a quantity of 4.5 bitcoin in 3 years would be able to support an annual salary of right around $40k per year (even accounting for the ongoing expected debasement of the dollar).

The target of over accumulation is also moving with time because in Dec 2017, Bitcoin was around 19k and anyone setting target at that moment may say that 10 Bitcoins are good enough for him but in Dec 2018 price of Bitcoin went down to 3500$ and for anyone setting target at that time might say 30 are good enough for him. But today price of Bitcoin is 100k, so today we can set a different target.

What I want to say is that price of Bitcoin play an important role in setting our target of over accumulation. If I set a target of 5 Bitcoins today and may be with time Bitcoin price may go exceptionally high, while my discretionary income doesn't increases in proportion with bitcoin price in that case my target of over accumulation will be effected.