According to my analysis, we are in the last phase of the bull cycle, you need to keep a close eye on every weekly candle close from now onwards.
Though chances of it reaching $170k as per my prediction is more, but you need to understand that there are certain things in the world that can affect it, be it a war or something similar.
Will catch you up next time with an update, Have Fun!
Your analysis is a good read and we'll never know of how high this cycle will be. But yes, just be ready wherever this cycle is going to bring us. We all want to see how high it can go but that also puts some attention that this could be the last leg of this bull run. Many are believing that we still have at least the 3rd quarter to the last month of this year until it ends. Although it's also a big factor that we've seen it broke former ATH last year which was unexpected. Or we can also use this as a basis that positive unexpected thing for this cycle might happen for reaching higher highs.