I quite agree with you on your take of seeing a new ATH in the next few weeks being that there have being strong moves in the market. With Twenty One Capital purchasing a huge chunk of Bitcoin, precisely $458m worth of it, I'm sure this move will push other investors to dive in and as such, this will see us experiencing a surge. I'm predicting BTC new ATH to fall at $125k but it might exceed it though.
I too think it will go further than that - 150k-170k would be my take, but we will see about that through this year.
I'm not surprised or won't be surprised if this push in price will make so many excited to the point that they will begin having bigger expectations concerning it's price but let's also consider the fact that inasmuch as it shot up to $100k+, it can also fall rapidly so for me, $150-170k is pushing it a bit. (That's if it's where you're seeing BTC price to hit in the upcoming weeks, though).
I don't think that the price of bitcoin will experience any drastic fall again and even if it does, it can never go back to the least price it went the last time. The market has a strong support such that before it experiences a heavy fall will result from a major liquidation which i think there's nothing that will prompt such actions since the tariff wars are almost coming to an end. $150K is a very fair and achievable ATH this year and with how bullish the market has been recently, we should be expecting something big in less than no time.