The match between Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg will be the determinant of Dortmund's fate next, in fact Dortmund must hope that Freiburg will lose rather than expecting Freiburg to win because the difference in points with Freiburg is only very small and Dortmund must beat the team that is currently in the relegation zone if they want to be in the UCL zone, whatever the result between Frankfurt and Freiburg is still quite profitable for Dortmund.
Winning against a team like Holstein Kiel is not a difficult task. Dortmund won against Holstein Kiel in the away match by a margin of 4-2. Now Dortmund team is in very good form. So Dortmund can easily defeat a team like Kiel.
It is difficult to give a prediction about the Frankfurt vs Freiburg match. This is Freiburg's home match. However, Freiburg lost against Frankfurt by a margin of 4-1 in the last match. Both Frankfurt and Freiburg are in good form recently. Both teams are undefeated for a long time. If Freiburg loses, Dortmund will be able to qualify for the Champions League. However, if Freiburg wins, it will be difficult for Dortmund to stay in the top 4 of the table.
Agree that Dortmund did the right thing with Kiel. But the Kiel game is irrelevant now. The real story is that BVB's late-season form (6 wins, 1 tie, 26 goals) peaked too late. This decade's UCL cutoff regression line shows that you need about 62 points now. With 57 runs scored, Dortmund is begging for favors
Frankfurt has the upper hand thanks to their +20 GD and lead, but Freiburg's revival isn't just due to form. They've freed their middle press, and central overloads are giving them more chances to score. Also, don't forget that Frankfurt has only scored 7 goals from the bench all season. Frankfurt doesn't have a Plan B ready in case Freiburg take the lead early
It's not just "difficult" for Dortmund if Toppmoller doesn't act quickly and Freiburg gets past the 60-minute mark. It’s curtains