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It is impossible to say when and how Bitcoin will behave, the market can show positive movements at any time or it can go down a lot due to volatility, nothing is really suitable to say for sure, expecting 200K this year is not wrong, we must maintain a positive outlook, but it is never an excessive stage. That is, you should not expect that 200K this year is absolutely certain, it may or may not happen, these are uncertain. So keep holding with a positive outlook, but you must be prepared for anything. That is, be ready for 200K at the end of this year, and also be prepared for 200K not to happen this year, you should not expect too much on any one thing, you have to think realistically and prepare yourself for anything and hold for the long term.
Of course, we should all be prepared for the consequences if $200k is never hit. I actually have no problem whatsoever if $200k is not hit, it’s just that the amount of return I expect from the investment is not as expected. I can sell gradually until all my bitcoins are sold, which could be around $110k to $150k and above. If $200k is hit, then we will simply be re-admitting that the same bullish pattern in the 4-year cycle is repeating itself and it is very likely that the same thing will happen in the next cycle.
Yesterday I saw bitcoin hit $107k, then dropped to $102k, but now it’s back to $105k. The market changes so fast and it will always be like that. Not everything we hope for will come true, some of it may never come true, especially since bitcoin price is hard to predict and very volatile. But as said before, there is always hope for that $200k and we should be able to maintain that optimism until the end of the year.