Just like others have said already, we are all speculating here. There's really no precise answer when it comes to trading. No one can learn and review and know the right answer for sure. We are all just guessing and hoping that our analysis was right. If we don't get it right, correct it better luck next time and if we do get it right then congratulations.

Though you have to evaluate the kind of traders you look for as well. There should be traders that despite being around the space for a long time now is not really as good in analyzing markets as other traders might be. Experience does not always translate to skill.