And that is exactly the opposite way I am thinking for this game. Obviously its not an easy thing to decide, but we are seeing how most UCL finals do not have that kind of results.

We still have a week left, s owe can think about this a bit more, but in most of UCL final games, we see teams score just once or twice at most, so we do not see 2.5 over that frequently. In fact, last time a finals had more than 2 goals was in 2017-18 which means for the past 6 finals, we have seen teams score less than that, and most defense just park the bus heavily if they score, meaning it would be hard for whoever doesn't score first. I get that it may not be great at the moment but it is the data we have and I would bet on "under" instead of over.