Think no more my friend! there is no exact mathematical formula that can prove Bitcoin will reach $200k by 2026 or early 2027. I wish market works on math laws and historical events but it doesn't. Years ago I was having the same thought but now mentality has changed.
If I haven't learn anything in this trump regime, I have at least learned that cycles, formulas, charts don't drive the market, it is now policy, power and perception. The Trump administration and their polices have show me who really influences the market the most, it is the government polices, institutions, and political play.
I wouldn’t say what you’ve mentioned are right nor wrong. Bitcoin just proves how unpredictable it is. That sometimes it is aligned with Trump’s policies, but on the other days, bitcoin seem so totally annoyed with how Trump’s administration is going on. So I can half agree and half disagree with your point, Agbamoni.
But as per my observation, bitcoin price cannot be done in math. It’s still a game of speculation. And sometimes a game of supply and demand.