Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Counter-intuition vs. intuition.
by
summonerrk
on 07/06/2025, 07:25:34 UTC
A few months ago, I came across a post that claimed that the world of risk, that is, stock markets and sports and non-sports betting platforms, is counter-intuitive. This means that you can’t rely on intuition there, but you have to rely on counter-intuition. I must admit, that was the first time I heard the term counter-intuition. This term was first used by Russian trader Alexander Silaev. However, I would like to talk about counter-intuition in relation to sports betting. Do you admit the existence of the term counter-intuition in relation to sports betting? If you ask me what it is, I will answer that it is a set of rules that limits decision-making based on the “unconscious principle”. But intuition is an unconscious principle, in which you cannot clearly tell yourself on what basis you made a bet.

It seems to me that counter-intuition is a principle that is not capable of giving the right answers to thoughts about the results in sports betting or gambling. Just as intuition is a weak principle for analytics. I think that all this can lead to what is called "overthinking".
This is a person's state when he thinks so much that he begins to make wrong conclusions, and all this instead of simply focusing on facts and cold analytics, and making the right conclusions. Therefore, I believe that you just need to sort out the information and try to see some patterns, and then the key to success will be found.